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And not before time: by 2050, about eight in ten people will be living in cities, population experts predict.
Population experts are increasingly alarmed by the government's silence and its lack of focus on the issue.
And many population experts believe that life expectancy will increase rapidly in the 21st century, making the financial problems of Social Security even worse.
While vaccination rates are high in the over 65 population, experts say that other at-risk groups remain resistant to public health messages.
What emerged from this investigation — undertaken by population experts, plant biologists, farmers, conservationists, nonprofit foundations and agricultural scientists — was cautious optimism for a new technology.
Population experts have said for some years that Social Security was underestimating gains in life spans likely to occur in the 21st century.
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"The kind of figures the demographers talk about are unimaginable for Japan," said Hiroshi Komai, a population expert at Tsukuba University.
For now, as Florian Coulmas, a population expert at Tokyo's German Institute for Japanese Studies, puts it, Japan is "the oldest goose".
Philip Morgan, a sociologist at Duke University, and Miles Taylor, a population expert at the University of North Carolina, cite several other possible factors.
Tributes were given, winding up with one from Professor Cohen (the population expert), who speculated on what the middle initial "T" stood for in the honoree's name.
Fertility shifts in individual countries are notoriously unpredictable, said Nicholas Eberstadt, a population expert at the American Enterprise Institute, so one might just as well use a Ouija board to predict the fallout.
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