Sentence examples for poor forecasters from inspiring English sources

Is it our inability to do so that makes us poor forecasters?

In his fascinating book Expert Political Judgment, the political scientist Philip Tetlock concludes after a decades-long study involving almost 300 experts who made more than 80 thousand predictions about the likelihood of geopolitical events that, on the whole, experts are poor forecasters at best.

Historians tend to be poor forecasters of the future.

Arbitrageurs could buy the high-interest currency today, lock in a future sale at the same price and pocket the extra interest from holding the currency until the forward contract is settled.In practice, the forward market is a poor forecaster.

Human beings who spend their lives studying the state of the world, in other words, are poorer forecasters than dart-throwing monkeys, who would have distributed their picks evenly over the three choices.

In his now-somewhat-famous conclusion, Tetlock reported that human beings who hold forth on the state of the world to come are, by and large, "poorer forecasters than dart-throwing monkeys".

In Louis Menand's words, experts "are poorer forecasters than dart-throwing monkeys".

Since forecasters did a poor job of predicting the recession's onset, he said, they should not necessarily be trusted to predict the timing or strength of a recovery.

As ambulance services in London reported a 14% spike in 999 calls due to breathing problems and forecasters predicted the poor conditions would subside by the weekend, Cameron urged people to take heed of warnings from the Met Office and public health officials.

Some stakeholders have also mentioned failings related to the deterioration of monitoring networks, inadequate communication of warnings by forecasters to end users, and poor accessibility of warning systems.

Indeed, this is the standard forecasting methodology among population forecasters (Keilman & Cruijsen, 1992).