Exact(5)
The reason, said Janet Elder, the editor in charge of polling, was a decision made many months ago to avoid polling immediately before primaries.
Since 1968, the 2008 election was the only year when the challenger (then Mr. Obama) eventually finished with a larger margin of victory than in the polling immediately after his convention.
The most eye-catching commitments were the extension of the right-to-buy to housing association tenants and legislating to guarantee a tax-free minimum wage, the latter backed by 80% in polling immediately after the manifesto launch.
Polling immediately before the election suggested that the gap had narrowed somewhat, but that the Wildrose was still poised to end the PCs' 41-year tenure in government.
The letter closes by noting, "With voters entering polling sites in Michigan, Nevada and South Carolina in the coming days and weeks and Super Tuesday following shortly thereafter, it is imperative for you to remedy the imbalance in your exit polling immediately.
Similar(55)
The polls immediately began to turn.
"I would tell them to poll immediately.
A Guardian/ICM snap poll immediately after the first live debate on 5 August gave Darling a victory of 56%to44%4%.
In the eight states that the firm polled immediately prior to the voting, Mr. Santorum had an average of 22 percent in the surveys — but he got an average of 27 percent of the vote.
Polls immediately before the election had Mr. Manchin with a smaller, 4-point lead on average, while one survey conducted just two weeks before the election had instead shown Mr. Raese with a 7-point lead.
Being only tied in the polls immediately after his own convention is unambiguously a bearish sign for Mr. Romney — and probably the most tangible sign to date that Mr. Obama is the favorite.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com