From time to time, the journalists themselves concede that to maintain daily or hourly tension in the contests they promote, they have little choice but to elevate minor poll shifts into major developments.
When the polls close up, you'll see more of it". He was right -- at least until the polls shift again.
When incumbent president win, they usually expand their original majorities, but barring a completely unexpected polling shift, Obama's 2008 majority will shrink no matter what.
For this reason, it's better to look at how the polls shift gradually, and average out all of the different polls.
The changes have made for the most dynamic race Mexicans have ever seen as polls shift from week to week in response to the campaigns.
Abbott has represented Warringah since 1994, and the seat has never been outside of Coalition hands, however there has been an anecdotal and polled shift in local support.
If national polls shift back toward Trump, Pennsylvania will be closer, sure, but so will a lot of states, including Nevada, Wisconsin and North Carolina.
As a result — unless the polls shift again — neither Mr. Obama nor Congressional Republicans will be able to count on having a significant advantage in public support in upcoming budget fights.
They might be able to pick up at least two of the Republicans' three most vulnerable seats, in New Hampshire, Colorado and Arkansas and if the opinion polls shift in the Democrats' favour, they might capture others as well.
However, in recent weeks, the once purple state has looked increasingly blue as polls shift in favor of President Obama.
