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We don't have exit poll data from 2008 in a number of states, so I rely solely on Trende's model here.
Looking at the exit poll data from the 2016 election, and comparing them over time, the story on race and presidential voting gets a bit more complicated.
Poll data from 2018 shows that just 27% of K-12 parents have strong confidence their school could deter a school shooting.
A comparison of exit poll data from 1984 and 1988 to data from the 2008 and 2012 elections reveals the changing partisan makeup of the top quintile.
The accompanying chart, based on an analysis by the Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies, illustrates aggregated exit poll data from the Republican primaries held through March 21.
The New York Times, citing exit poll data from Edison Research, finds that "[s]even out of very eight voters in New Jersey said they were worried about the direction of the nation's economy over the next year".
Similar(32)
And as exit-poll data from the 1996, 2000, and 2008 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses show, these different types of "conservatives" prefer very different types of presidential candidates.
The progressive policy group Third Way, analyzing exit-poll data from last year's governor's races in Virginia and New Jersey and the special Senate election in Massachusetts in January, found that only about a third of independents in all three states voted Democratic, compared with about 54 percent who voted for Obama in 2008.
Polling data from the Huffington Post Pollster API.
March 15 Added polling data from Kaiser Family Foundation.
He cites polling data from his own consulting firm.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
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