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AUTOMATED POLLS GOT LUCKY IN 2014 - Natalie Jackson: "Last year automated phone polls, sometimes called "robopolls," got closer on average to the actual election results than most other surveys.
In the end the debate between online and phone polls, and different methodologies, proved irrelevant.
More important, though, is the difference between online and phone polls.
In recent days some phone polls have shown that the leave group is ahead.
A different skew, which is getting deeper, is at work with the phone polls.
They think phone polls are more accurate for the EU referendum, and that "Remain" currently has the advantage.
Phone polls show the Conservatives ahead by around 3 points; online polls show the two parties tied.
Online polls (ICM, Survation and Ashcroft) give more anti-EU results than phone polls (ComRes and Ipsos MORI).
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Surveys conducted over the Internet are plotted in green; live-phone polls are in purple.
Until October, live-phone polls gave Clinton a slightly bigger lead than Internet surveys, although the difference was never more than about two percentage points.
The pattern reversed itself in the final weeks of the campaign, with Clinton performing worse on live-phone polls than Internet polls.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com