Sentence examples for personal probability from inspiring English sources
I asked ESA's Swarm Mission Advisory Group MAGG) members to supply me with their personal probability that a single individual ASM chosen at random would fail over a year.
van Fraassen (1989, 198) gives us this definition: "If P is my personal probability function, then q is an expert function for me concerning family F of propositions exactly if P A | q(A) = x) = x for all propositions A in family F".
These misperceptions were strongly associated with perceived personal probability of becoming infected while using public transportation.
"Worry about EVD" describes thinking about threatening scenarios in the absence of actual danger (17 ), and "perceived personal probability of infection" describes participants' estimation of the actual risk for infection.
Furthermore, only 7.0% of men and 10.3% of women in our cohort, and 10% of participants from the Hong Kong study indicated believing that their personal probability of contracting H1N1 was "high" or "very high".
Studies of behavioral change during RIDEs usually assess risk perception as an affect-neutral cognitive ("cognitive") process, commonly using measures such as perceived personal probability of infection or perceived severity of the illness [ 3- 5], or as a more affect-active process, by assessing worry and anxiety [ 6- 10].
Glymour takes it that, on a Bayesian picture concerned with rational confidences, all a scientist could be doing when she offers an argument is relating her particular stance on certain premises, or appealing to independent general principles that restrict personal probabilities.
The main contribution of the present experiments is that the effects of personal involvement and probability of the cause are tested independently of each other.
In this way the individual and collective specialist knowledge is more effectively exploited, since the experts are asked to discuss and express themselves directly in their field of expertise: their knowledge enters the statistical model without the filter of personal sensitivity to probabilities, a subject that is unfamiliar to many volcanologists.
Our personal experiences with eliciting probabilities using our verbal-numerical probability scale were very good [ 11].
In order to investigate whether this is a problem in the analysed data, we follow the approach applied by Dustmann and Van Soest (2002) and estimate whether job characteristics, such as the position in the job and the wage, as well as personal characteristics influence the probability of return migration.
