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It is speculated that they might systematically overestimate the past variation of the geomagnetic field intensity around Japan at the time.
Still, he sees a pattern to the past variation that "should be a useful guide to what to expect" from the conventions and promises to update later this week with a prediction for each candidate.
Similar pattern of distribution was observed between the modern-day Karelian wolves and the oldest historical wolves (Additional file 7: Figure S3) indicating that some of the past variation has likely been lost in the neighbouring areas as well.
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We don't fully understand past variations, but there is a theorem in science: if it happens, it must be possible.
Records of large solar eclipses preserved in literary and historical works have made an important contribution to the study of past variations in Earth's rate of rotation.
But while virtue falls to him who has the power to control all under heaven, it is defined in terms of a moral dogma -- variations of Confucianism in the past, variations of Communism in the present.
Dr. Crowley found that past variations in the radiance of the sun or bursts of volcanic activity, when fed into a computer model simulating the flow of energy to and from the earth, produced temperatures that match most of the ups and downs of the actual climate from the year 1000 to the mid 1800's.
Dr. Michael E. Mann, a climate expert at the University of Virginia and the lead author of the studies that generated the hockey stick, said, for example, that the virtual climate created by Dr. von Storch's team had far greater past variations in the sun's output than what experts feel really happened.
Based on a study of these past variations, some scientists believe that even if we stopped burning fossil fuels tomorrow, we would be due for a substantial rise in sea levels over the long term as ice sheets slowly respond to the warmer temperatures brought on by the greenhouse gases that humans have already dumped into the atmosphere.
It is therefore a predictive model, based on the extrapolation of past variations.
Past variations in global sea-level reflect continental ice volume, a crucial factor for understanding the Earth's climate system.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com