Sentence examples for past forecasts from inspiring English sources

(Nate Silver, the author of the FiveThirtyEight blog and a forecaster himself, has recently provided an illuminating examination of past forecasts).

The catalysts for projections of rapid proliferation and the characteristics of "threshold states" have changed over time, but past forecasts have routinely overestimated the pace of proliferation.

The tool considers 70 models before generating a forecast for each station using the best one, and then reports the precision of past forecasts to users.

In the fund's latest "World Economic Outlook", released this month, Olivier Blanchard, its chief economist, and Daniel Leigh study how well their past forecasts turned out.

J. P. Morgan & Company said yesterday that its first-quarter profit rose nearly 5percentt, surging past forecasts thanks to robust investment banking, trading and money management revenues.

A study by Ronald L. Oaxaca and Larry L. Leslie of the University of Arizona, for example, shows that past forecasts of job growth for engineers and scientists turned out to be wildly inaccurate.

He uses these numbers, taking each with a weighted grain of salt based on the analyst's past forecasting success.

The designed neural network successively recognizes the weight patterns of the constituent models from their past forecasting records and then predicts the desired set of the combining weights.

On each time series, the component models are successively ranked as per their past forecasting accuracies and then we combine the forecasts of a group of high ranked models.

We used the experts-views and reduced the prediction intervals based on time series models and past forecast errors for the short and medium term.

It is possible, therefore, that the experience of the recent past skews forecasts of the future.