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Click Forensics is reporting that the overall click fraud rate was down half a percentage point in the first quarter to 16.3percentt.
The short story: the changes to the clickable area in Google ads has resulted in a decline in accidental clicks, resulting in the overall click rate to decline.
Perhaps this year the overall click fraud rate can be held steady instead of rising 15percentt, as it did in 2007.
While the year-over-year growth is cause for concern, the click fraud rates remained pretty steady compared to the third quarter of 2007, when the overall click fraud rate was 16.2percentt and the search-engine click fraud rate was 28.1percentt (see charts above).
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In addition to having higher CPMs, mobile ads, which were only introduced in June 2012, for now seem to also be impacting overall click-through rates, too.
In a report in January, Click Forensics found that the overall click-fraud rate for the online advertising industry was 16.6% in the last quarter of 2007, up from 14.2% for the same period a year earlier.
YouTube reports that the click-through rate on those ads was two times higher than the overall click-through rate for those types of ads on the site, and that there was even a spillover effect on official "Forever" music video, which also saw the click-through rate son the same ads go up 2.5 times the average.
This is because users on Cyber Monday and the like are more in "buying" mode, and less in "collecting or discovery" mode, so the overall clicks on pins and outbound traffic didn't see any meaningful jump.
Click, click.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com