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(a,b) RMSSS (multiplied by 100) of the ensemble mean of the Init multi-model for predictions averaged over forecast years 2 5 (a) and 6 9 (b).
(c,d) Ratio of RMSEs between the Init and NoInit multi-model experiments for predictions averaged over forecast years 2 5 (c) and 6 9 (d).
Ratio between the spread and the RMSE of the ensemble mean for Init (a) and NoInit (b) for the predictions averaged over forecast years 2–5.
Tuesday, NWSCPH, which is based in Honolulu, has taken over forecast responsibility for Iselle and Julio from the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
"They're way over forecast," Steiner said.
While there is more limited downside, we continue to retain concerns over forecast delivery, particularly with respect to gross margin.
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The number of switches of the under- and over-forecast cases is also too high compared with the perfect-forecast case, as shown in Fig. 17.
As shown in subplots 2 and 3, Fig. 15, in the over-forecast or under-forecast cases, the PEESS has multiple overshoots or undershoots from ( P_{f}^{text{Baseline}} ) in hour 13.
Open image in new window Fig. 16 Impact of different forecasting accuracies of the feeder baseline load on room temperature profiles 2) As shown in subplots 2 and 3, Fig. 15, in the over-forecast or under-forecast cases, the PEESS has multiple overshoots or undershoots from ( P_{f}^{text{Baseline}} ) in hour 13.
In the other two cases, the ( P_{f}^{text{Baseline}} ) is calculated by adding or subtracting 5% random forecast errors from the perfect-forecast ( P_{f}^{text{Baseline}} ) to represent the over-forecast and the under-forecast cases, as shown in Fig. 14.
'It can't keep not happening,' Halpert said, because otherwise they're over-forecasting.
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