Your English writing platform
Discover LudwigExact(59)
S. Singh and C.R. Myers, "Outbreak size statistics and scaling laws for externally driven epidemics", Phys.
Specifically, we assessed the impact of the timing of control measures, especially associated with a reduction of the transmission rate and diagnostic delays on outbreak size and duration.
Surveillance sensitivity was estimated as 66%95%5% CI: 63.1, 68.8%) and 59.5% (95% CI: 56.5%, 62.4%) for two monitoring methods (weekly count and prevalence thresholds respectively), but differences among calendar quarters in outbreak size and surveillance sensitivity suggest seasonal effects.
We quantify this trend by the coefficient of determination R 2 between the average outbreak size in the simulation and various measures of the centrality of the unit where the patient tested positive.
We showed that the final outbreak size decreases rapidly with a modest investment in learning.
However, lower uptake by cattle-only farms did not significantly affect outbreak size (P = 0.25).
We obtained expressions for the expected outbreak size and the distribution of epidemic duration.
The coefficient of variation in the final outbreak size was 0.85.
For 86 (55%) of these outbreaks, outbreak size did not differ between the two datasets.
By contrast, the expected outbreak size for societal learning twice as effective was 116 cases.
The median outbreak size of was 3 cases (range 2-3056; SD±247.6).
Write better and faster with AI suggestions while staying true to your unique style.
Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com