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Outbreak extent is further exacerbated in settings with more human-mediated long distance transport of dogs, on relatively smaller islands and, to a lesser degree, in areas with less complex coastlines/edges (Fig. 3C E).
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To initiate control measures for FMD, the following must be identified: origin of infection, links between outbreaks, extent of genetic variation of the causative viruses, and antigenic relationship of field isolates to the available vaccines.
Understanding these between-household contacts is needed to determine the outbreak's extent.
An investigation was initiated to describe the outbreak's extent, to verify the pathogen, and to identify modes of transmission and source of infection to prevent further cases.
Potential biases in inferred poultry network properties may have important consequences for government preparedness of resource distribution during an outbreak; the extent of between-farm spread may depend on how rapid and where the movement restrictions that inhibit this risk are implemented.
Aflatoxin-contaminated homegrown maize was the source of the outbreak, but the extent of regional contamination and status of maize in commercial markets (market maize) were unknown.
Such a test would allow prompt identification of carrier patients, incur appropriate infection control measures, and delineate the extent outbreak before its spread.
An investigation was initiated to confirm the outbreak, assess its extent, and identify the vehicle of transmission in order to implement control measures.
It is probable that the change of climatic parameters contributed to the occurrence of this atypical seasonal outbreak but the extent of this contribution needs to be further examined.
The probability of detection affects the delay until an incursion is detected and therefore the epidemic situation can be markedly worse by the time that control efforts are initiated, with increasing outbreak size and extent at lower detection probabilities (Fig. 3A, B).
At the time, the review concluded that health benefits could be expected (in particular a reduction of healthcare service demand at the peak of the outbreak) to an extent that would depend on the epidemiological characteristics of the virus and the way the policy would be implemented.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com