Journalist for United Press in Madrid, Spain, who broke the story to the world on outbreak of Spanish Civil War.
Ruwan Ratnayake, epidemiologist and technical advisor, International Rescue Committee IRCC), New York, USA, @RuwanEPI Ruwan advises and works on outbreak control, surveillance, research and evaluation in fragile settings.
Using mathematical models and data on cholera cases collected over 18 years at a hospital in Dhaka, Bangladesh, the researchers analyzed the role of climate and previous levels of the disease on outbreak patterns.
For this purpose, a traceability model inspired by wavepattern recognition models to detect "zero-patient" areas based on outbreak spread is proposed.
We illustrate this for data on disease transmission in a single community of uniformly mixing individuals and for data on outbreak sizes in households.
We investigated in four affected areas the effects of site quality, stand structure and relative tree position on outbreak dynamics during two consecutive years (1999 2000).
Specifically, we assessed the impact of the timing of control measures, especially associated with a reduction of the transmission rate and diagnostic delays on outbreak size and duration.
This equation states that effective outbreak distances D e can be computed with high fidelity based on outbreak arrival times on and effective spreading speed v e, and that each factor depends on different factors of the dynamical system considered (Brockmann and Helbing 2013).
Prof Tom Solomon, of the UK's NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, welcomed the emphasis on outbreak control in local areas, including the use of full personal protective equipment (gowns, masks, gloves and goggles) with proper training.
Blame it on Outbreak, World War Z, or any other film that involves a military response to a horrific virus.
