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GDP has shrunk 3.5% since 2008 ; S&P predicts it will take until 2017 for it to regain its earlier level, and sees growth next year at 0.5%, the same as the Netherlands' official forecasting authority.
And, most disconcerting, after more than 2 decades of official forecasting, geoscientists still don't know how much confidence to place in their own warnings.
Once the storm moved ashore, the Weather Bureau transferred official forecasting duties to regional offices, and local newspapers also issued their own forecasts.
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Yet official forecasts generally look optimistic.
It does the same for the EU's official forecast.
The official forecast for 2005 has been cut to 5.8%.
This year it may expand by 3%, though the official forecast is still a more stately 2.5%.
Most official forecasts suggest that Japan's current-account surplus will decline gradually.
"THE pudding will not explode," a senior German government official forecast stoically.
According to official forecasts, output is due to reach 5m barrels per day by 2020.
The latest official forecasts suggest that the economy will grow by some 4.2% this year.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com