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Two distinct paths of technological evolution are advancing technology to create this future (and more): virtual intelligence (VI) is planned, controlled and predictable; in sharp contrast, artificial intelligence (AI) is none of these.
How do these recent developments affect technology forecasting and our view of technological evolution?
We explore how knowledge of patterns of technological evolution can be incorporated into technology roadmaps to detect opportunities for innovation and possible market limitations.
What makes all this so urgent is the brutally Darwinian nature of technological evolution.
The first is the extreme speed of technological evolution, and hence of technofossil evolution.
Because of technological evolution, ISO standards are optimally reviewed for possible revision every five years.
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Regardless of technological evolutions, we still think of DJs as perma-headphoned people who value their Technics more than their friendships.
We discuss the implications of these findings for research on technological evolution, industrial change, and technology strategy.
This provides a novel means to study the short and long run effect of invention antecedents on technological evolution, invention activity, and economic growth.
Kelly is strangely keen to tie his theory of technological development to biological evolution.
This could be attributed to neglecting consideration of the technological evolution of biogas, with its cycles and peaks, as well as other factors such as rural population loss, and the decline of small livestock breeding in rural areas.
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