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"Above a reasonably good level of mental ability, above that indicated by a 550-600 level of S.A.T. score," Bender went on, "the only thing that matters in terms of future impact on, or contribution to, society is the degree of personal inner force an individual has".
An emerging area of interest in research on the "science of science" is the prediction of future impact.
Raford therefore concludes with several advantages of true Foresight 2.0 processes: (1) An increase in the amount of future impact factors to scan and assess.
It is worth mentioning, however, that not only cognitive phenomena, but also individual motivations and Leitbilder [89] can be a potential cause for bias in the identification and evaluation of future impact factors.
In order to control the temporal effect on citation volume, we use the citation number only up to the first five years after publication because it is also known that only recent citation works well in prediction of future impact [32].
To predict future impacts to habitat, the number of highly impacted gridcells per ecoregion were multiplied by the projected population growth rate between 2000 and 2015 to provide a per annum rate of future impact [28] (see Text S1 and Table S1).
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Nevertheless, astronomers – many gathered at the American Association for the Advancement of Science annual meeting in Boston this weekend – have been quick to reassure the public that they have plans to provide better warnings of future impacts.
These scenarios enable the user to estimate the bandwidth of future impacts of the settlement within reasonable boundaries.
"Understanding what happened 65 million years ago will help us better assess the hazards of future impacts".
forest profoundly affected quality of life, and led to community conflict, increased risk perception of future impacts, and economic challenges.
Ensuring access to archive data would extend the time-series available for establishing forest reference levels and understanding trends, and when integrated with more recent data, enable prediction of future impacts and guide restoration efforts.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com