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So a rise of 2 degrees Fahrenheit since the 19th century is actually high.
If we want to stay below the upper ceiling of 2 degrees, though, we still have a shot.
Most scientists warn that a temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) could have serious consequences.
This 2-degree Fahrenheit rise is the equivalent of the original goal of 2 degrees Celsius above the planet's temperature just before the Industrial Revolution.
Burning more than about 1tr tonnes of carbon – the carbon budget – would push warming over the danger point of 2 degrees.
Discussion up until now, however, has largely focused on how to avoid the more lenient but still-quite-difficult target of 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit).
World leaders vowed in Paris to avoid a warming of 2 degrees Celsius over preindustrial levels (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), a threshold that they deemed unacceptably risky.
The Paris climate conference set the ambitious goal of finding ways to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, rather than the previous threshold of 2 degrees.
We have a decade or two to sort this out before we are fully locked in to warming of 2 degrees Celsius or more.
The potential for the Western Antarctic Ice Sheet to disintegrate is highly uncertain, but is likely to require an increase of 2 degrees Celsius or more.
Europe cannot now stay at its lower number when it knows that doing so will take us ever further from the goal of 2 degrees they claim they so vehemently support.
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