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Exact(17)
This time, Democrats like Mr. Maffei's odds of victory.
Data hub FiveThirtyEight's numbers are a little more modest, putting Trump's odds of victory just north of 15%.
But they aren't data-deniers or "poll truthers" for thinking that Obama's current odds of victory may have become somewhat inflated.
On the day of the Democratic primary in New Hampshire in 2008, Mr. Obama's odds of victory rose to about 99 percent — before eventually falling to zero.
After the first debate, Mr. Obama's odds of victory on the site fell from about 80 percent to about 60 percent last Friday.
So for the most part, the forecast is simply taking the most recent poll and translating the data into odds of victory for each candidate.
Similar(42)
That has turned the all-but-interminable Belmont Stakes into a little more than a crapshoot, decreasing the odds of a victory by the favourite.
Then, on June 6, it compared each country's self-assessment with the odds of its victory on oddschecker.com, a Web site that consolidates bookmakers' odds from two dozen online betting sites.
He reached out to Senator Kerry early last year, when the odds of a Kerry victory seemed long.
Intrade, the online prediction market, puts the odds of an Obama victory at about fifty-nine per cent.
The equation: By using these numbers, I found the odds of a New York victory to be 66.9 percent.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com