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P = Observed probability of parallel or convergent change * = Observed probability of parallel and convergent change Internodal branches are omitted.
With calibration plots, the agreement between the predicted and observed probability of pulmonary embolism can be visualised.
Calibration would measure the degree of error between the predictive probability and observed probability of the model.
If the tested phenotypes were independent as assumed in Table 1, this would give a 15% observed probability of pathway inactivation.
(B ) Mean observed probability of stopping in the baseline (dark, solid) and caution (light, dotted) conditions; dots reflect individual subject means.
A Q-Q plot representing expected and observed probability of getting association of SNPs with a phenotype showed possibility of high number of false positive associations (Fig. 6b).
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Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer Lemeshow (H L) statistic and plots showing predicted versus observed probabilities of occurrence.
Men with osteoporosis by WHO criteria had observed probabilities of clinical fracture events that exceeded their FRAX predicted probabilities.
The calibration plot, however, shows poor concordance between the predicted and observed probabilities of Gleason sum upgrading (P < 0.001).
Conversely, testing of a previously published model predicting Gleason sum upgrading showed poor concordance between the predicted and observed probabilities of Gleason sum upgrading.
The bootstrap-corrected calibration slope in the internal cohort is shown in Figure 4, which indicated good agreement between the predicted and observed probabilities of severe neutropenia.
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