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If the distribution implies anything relevant to objective chance, it implies that the objective chance of the coin's landing heads on any given toss is 1/1 (or very close to it).
The problem is that there appear to be instances of objective chance that are not interpretable in this way.
Because the coin is fair, the objective chance of its landing heads on any given toss is 1/2.
Objective chance is an interpretation of probability as an objective tendency of a physical situation to produce an outcome of a certain kind.
One is forced to conclude that objective chance cannot be explained in terms of the distribution of local qualities and, therefore, that Humean supervenience is false.
According to Lewis, Humean supervenience faces only one serious challenge: objective chance, or propensity, a notion that Lewis thought was indispensable to science.
Similar(32)
Joyce says "some have held objective chances are not probabilities.
What if the objective chances were not probabilities?
Some philosophers have argued that fitnesses are precisely such objective chances.
It is very nearly a piece of philosophical orthodoxy that non-trivial objective chances require indeterminism.
In the second case it represents substantial knowledge about the objective chances.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com