"Usually my estimates are wrong, but I tell you I call them as good as some of them on TV," he said, chuckling.
"My estimates are that Prozac alone has led to 25,000 people committing suicide" who would not have otherwise, Dr. Healy said.
First, I show that all my estimates are robust to an instrumental variable approach.
However, this approach raises the possibility that my estimates are contaminated by unobserved correlations between economic conditions that affect search behavior and the availability of extended benefits.
Its earnings for 2001 have not come out yet, but my estimates are that they're going to be right around 9 cents a share.
Assuming that those with low potential wages are less likely to be employed when there is a negative shock to wages at the cohort level, my estimates are unlikely to be biased downward.
This implies that, to the extent that my estimates are attenuated by measurement error, the underlying own-race effect for blacks must be larger than the cross-race effect.
In order to show that my estimates are not driven by the experience groups below 10 years and after 35 years, I will exclude them in a robustness test.
14 My estimates are smaller than those in Table 6 in Kahn (2010), which also reported the effect of unemployment rate at age 18 for white men in the NLSY79.
While my estimates are unscientific, so are Facebook's.
"Regardless," he wrote via email, "[Gingrich] still is getting creamed, even if my estimates are 25% too low.
