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On the other side of the equation, one good debate performance alone does not necessarily move the poll needle positively, but successive good performances do.
Slightly fewer Latinos feel secure that they will have a job in 12 months than do Anglos, and 48% of Latinos said they would likely move elsewhere for a good job, while 38% of Anglos would make the same move, the poll found.
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Election 2015: could the debates move the polls?
And now is the point where many voters pay more attention to the election, which can move the polls.
In general, the historical experience is that unexpected foreign policy crises are more likely to move the polls in favor of the incumbent in the immediate term — the rally-around-the-flag effect.
There are fewer and fewer true swing voters, and it is harder to move the polls for any reason, with so many people locked into voting Democrat or Republican from the get-go.
Its success depended on setting off a chain reaction in which Ryan's presence fired up the G.O.P. base, switched the focus of the campaign back to the economy, and started to move the polls in his direction.
Since little else has happened in the past week to move the polls, it's a fairly safe bet that Kerry's decision to use Dick and Lynne Cheney's daughter Mary as a political tool had an impact, although not the one Kerry was looking for.When Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C).
"Among some of the more empirically minded journalists I follow, the conventional wisdom may have overcompensated too far in the direction of 'lolz nothing matters,' downplaying the importance of events that seemed highly likely to move the polls," Nate Silver, the editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, recently wrote.
With 21 days to go until Nov. 4, the week ahead is about numbers: what to do about shrinking 401 k)'s, how to move the polls and whether the third and final presidential debate will draw large numbers of viewers who will either solidify the state of the race or set it on a new course.
Moreover, it hasn't yet been proven that online persuasion is more effective than bombarding prospective voters with enough commercials to move the polls or influence what happens on Election Day.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com