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Fertility and mortality decline is more rapid than in both other scenarios.
We believe, therefore, that the mortality decline is primarily related to prognostic improvements in the 5 years after diagnosis.
Pattern 1 ('no mortality decline') is characterised by a decrease in MI ratio since the early 1990s, although maintaining the highest values throughout the period of analysis.
On the one hand, mortality decline is viewed as initiating the transition process and is generally considered as the most influential factor of fertility decline.
We then evaluate whether the sequence of irreversible decline in fertility in response to mortality decline is occurring as expected from the demographic transition.
Pattern 2 ('later mortality decline') is characterised by an almost stable MI ratio up to 1990, with values close to 0.5, and then by a decline until the end of the period, with values close to 0.30 in 2002.
Similar(50)
Their predictions of the future development can be quite precise as long as turning points and/or age-shifts of mortality decline are not present.
Modern mortality decline was unprecedented in human history.
Between 1990 and 2011, global neonatal mortality decline was slower than that of under-five mortality.
Favorable changes in mortality determinants coinciding with the acceleration of mortality decline were mainly seen within the health care system.
There is strong evidence that the rate of mortality decline was faster after IMCI implementation than before (table 4).
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