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Population projections represent simply the playing out into the future of a set of assumptions about future fertility, mortality, and migration rates.
There are, undeniably, cyclical movements of population; it is possible to find fluctuations in the rates of marriage, birth, mortality, and migration, but the extent to which such fluctuations may be associated with changes in economic conditions is not clear.
These projections depend on assumptions about future changes in cohort turnover, mortality, and migration.
The difference arises because they make different assumptions about fertility, mortality and migration.
We formulated scenario assumptions of fertility, mortality and migration for the period 2015 2050 and also produce projection results for that period.
We expect that cohort turnover, which reflects the existing disproportions in population structures, will lead to convergence in aging, but it is less obvious what will be the effect of mortality and migration.
Similar(5)
Study subjects were followed through the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) in England and Wales to ascertain their vital status, and to obtain information on site-specific cancer incidence, cause-specific mortality and migrations.
Hence the study of demographic change requires knowledge of fertility (births), mortality (deaths), and migration.
A final limitation is the absence of data on mortality, incarceration and migration of IDU populations.
The different scenarios thus assess the future impact of different developments in mortality, fertility, and migration on changes in population growth, particularly in the changes of the size of the working-age population, and on population ageing.
Dynamic demographic processes such as mortality, fertility, and migration that influence the age-distribution of the population also have an impact on the projected number of HAV cases, and consequently the estimated population-level disease burden.
More suggestions(17)
rate and migration
life and migration
morbidity and migration
population and migration
survival and migration
deaths and migration
mortality and ugliness
mortality and food
mortality and resignation
mortality and drive
mortality and water
mortality and literacy
mortality and health
mortality and loss
mortality and morbidity
mortality and medication
mortality and impermanence
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