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This hypothesis could be tested more effectively by multi-gene datasets allowing more sensitive estimates of divergence times.
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Our more sensitive estimate narrows that lead to just over six (47.8% to 41.6%).
Brown's advantage on the more sensitive estimate is slightly larger (49.7% to 43.4%).
The more sensitive estimate, which gives greater weight to the two newer polls, narrows the margin slightly to two-and-a-half points (47.8% to 45.3%).
Our more sensitive estimate, which gives slightly greater weight to the new PPP survey, narrows that margin to just under seven points (47.4% to 40.8%).
Additionally, to provide a more sensitive estimate of exposure, the process was repeated matching air pollution data from each eligible monitoring station to births to mothers residing in postcodes within five kilometres of the monitoring station.
However, the root mean square error of cross-validation is a more sensitive estimate with respect to model complexity and is also an indication of the spread of predicted values.
Our standard trend estimate now gives Kasich an eight point lead (49.6% to 41.5%), but our more sensitive trend estimate, which gives greater weight to the more recent polls, shows Strickland narrowing Kasich's lead to less than 3 points (46.1% to 43.8%).
Since the imperfect sensitivity of CSF culture presents a challenge when using it to evaluate tests that might be more sensitive, sensitivity and specificity estimates from multiple methods were compared.
Our more sensitive trend estimate (shown below) reduces Buck's margin to less than two points (46.9% to 45.2%).
Our more sensitive trend estimate, which puts greater weight on the four most recent polls, shows Sestak ahead by a toss-up 1.8 point margin (44.6% to 42.8%).
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