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Under the more optimistic forecast, deficits would increase $2.8 trillion (for a debt equal to 97 percent of G.D.P).
That was a seemingly more optimistic forecast than a much-chewed-over statement he made in July when he was asked whether the House majority was in jeopardy.
For months, Mr. Berner has been sticking to a more optimistic forecast, despite growing evidence in favor of Mr. Hatzius's view.
The bank issued the more optimistic forecast even though Korea's currency, the won, is at its highest level since December 2000.
G.M. projected that the industry would sell 11 million to 12 million vehicles nationwide this year, and Ford made a slightly more optimistic forecast, of 11.5 million to 12.5 million.
That is a more optimistic forecast than the bank made in July, but shows that the region is still struggling after output fell 0.6 percent this year and 5.4 percent in 2009.
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There are some more optimistic forecasts.
The difference largely reflects the administration's more optimistic forecasts of economic growth through 2019.
The finance minister, in one of the more optimistic forecasts, said last month that the economy could shrink more than 5 percent this year before slowly returning to growth in 2012.
On these sorts of projections the NLD could well win all 44 seats it fought, or at least 40, ahead even of its more optimistic forecasts.
Discussions among E.C.B. board members are further complicated by a melting away of more optimistic forecasts made at the start of the year.
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