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Beck has at times spoken against violence, but he more often forecasts it, warning that "it is only a matter of time before an actual crazy person really does something stupid".
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More often than not, our forecast model's calculations suggest that a trend that gets the pundits excited probably isn't all that meaningful once you examine it more carefully.
The archetypal floating voter (Esterhase's loyalties tended to swing more often than an economic forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility) he is exactly the sort of chap to who might benefit most from the autumn statement the chancellor delivered on Thursday.
Now it's easy to get 10- to 15-day forecasts and more often than not they are right.
But new approaches to nuclear power have been forecast far more often than they have been realized, and some worry that small modular reactors could fall into that category.
Isaac Goldberg thought that "Thespis looks forward far more often than it glances backward: "It forecasts the characteristic methods, and now and then a character, of the later series.
But as investors have long known, consensus forecasts miss the mark more often than not.
BJ's posted a bigger-than-expected rise in profit and raised its annual earnings forecast as people shopped its stores more often for food and gasoline.
In a way, in trying to forecast political changes in China, Russia, and elsewhere, American officials and analysts proved to be more often wrong than right.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com