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"more likely scenario" is correct and usable in written English.
You can use it to compare two possibilities and imply which one is more likely to take place. For example: "Given the information we have, the more likely scenario is that they will not attend the event."
Exact(60)
Now that iOS 11.3 is here, that suddenly looks like a much more likely scenario.
Deliveroo, he believes, is a more likely scenario.
The more likely scenario, however, is that Obamacare does fail.
"Continual social unrest, and chaos — that's a more likely scenario".
The more likely scenario is that Labor will win, and win comfortably.
Nonetheless, it is a more likely scenario than was the case two weeks ago.
A more likely scenario is that Europe muddles through by drip-feeding Ukraine.
"For me, the much more likely scenario is that she was climbing for food," he said.
A more likely scenario will be delivery of the weapon via cruise missile.
The more likely scenario if diplomacy is rejected or fails is continued escalation — and potentially war.
The more likely scenario at the United Nations is a weaker statement from the Council president.
More suggestions(15)
more plausible scenario
more likely situation
more likely hypothesis
more likely going
more likely happening
more likely using
more likely arch
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more hopeful scenario
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more apocalyptic scenario
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more complex scenario
Write better and faster with AI suggestions while staying true to your unique style.
Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com