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Main outcome measures All cause mortality identified from official mortality records and the hospital morbidity data, with death from cardiovascular disease as a secondary end point.
Currently, there is no recommended method for collecting morbidity data, with GPELF suggesting that it could be collected either through dedicated surveys, during baseline surveys, when enumerating households during mass drug administration (MDA) for LF (assuming it is ongoing) or integrated into disability surveys conducted by non-governmental organisations [ 1].
A study in South Carolina found that on inspection of medical records of patients identified in the state's morbidity data with the ICD-10 code of G12.2 85% had information in their medical charts that would support an ALS diagnosis according to the El Escorial Criteria.
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The strengths of the study include the double-masked randomised design and the rigorous quality control of the morbidity data collection with weekly supervision and regular retraining of the data collection team.
17 Our principal end point was all cause mortality identified from the death registry and the hospital morbidity data collection, with death from cardiovascular disease as a secondary end point.
The ARIMA-BPNN combined model was trained with 144 months of morbidity data from January 2000 to December 2011, validated with 12 months of data January 2012 to December 2012, and then employed to forecast hepatitis E incidence January 2013 to December 2013 in Shanghai.
Finally, our procedure only allows the linkage with cause-specific mortality data but not with morbidity data.
Given this inconsistency, we continued analysis with morbidity data from the year 2000 only.
The model was trained using 144 months of morbidity data from January 2000 to December 2011, validated with 12 months of morbidity data from January 2012 to December 2012, and finally employed to forecast the incidence of hepatitis E from January 2013 to December 2013 in Shanghai.
The observed age pattern of pneumonia deaths, in which the infant age group had the highest burden, is consistent with morbidity data (data not shown) from a health facility in the study area (22).
The total sample for this analysis was 2,790 children, aged 0 59 months, who had complete morbidity data and were living with their mothers at the time of the survey.
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