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He said investment could increase, under a relatively moderate scenario, to €11.1bn by 2010 and provide 7% of the world's generating capacity by 2030.
It projected that heat-related deaths in Los Angeles, which it said averaged 165 annually during the 1990's, could double or triple under the moderate scenario and grow as much as seven times under the harsher one.
The resulting land-use change increased total annual food production in a moderate scenario from the current level of 17.8 23.1 petacalories (1015 calories), which amounted to a production increase of 30%.
In his testimony, Hansen showed the results of his 1988 study using a climate model to project future global warming under three possible scenarios, ranging from 'business as usual' heavy pollution in his Scenario A to 'draconian emissions cuts' in Scenario C, with a moderate Scenario B in between.
The researchers don't predict at what exact moment that will come, but they do say that by the end of the 21st century, "it is likely that many land regions will experience statistically significant mean precipitation changes during wet season" relative to the early 20th century, based on the moderate scenario put forward by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2007.
Trende has developed a second, more moderate scenario, illustrated in Figure 2, which assumes a "modest Republican outreach toward Hispanics" that produces some gains among Latinos and Asian Americans, but does so at the cost of slowing Republican advances among whites.
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But in more moderate scenarios, rising global temperatures improve agricultural productivity in northerly climes.
"Developments to date are broadly consistent with the more moderate scenarios set out prior to the referendum and reflect prompt action by the Bank of England in August.
Future vulnerability varies greatly with scenario; however, even in moderate scenarios large proportions of Europe (46%% of the population) are estimated to be vulnerable for at least one ecosystem service.
The costs of the moderate scenarios average to EUR 432,951 (mean value of EUR 424,005 and EUR 441,896) for the age range of three to 67-year-olds; of the pessimistic scenarios, the average costs are EUR 1,159,294 (mean value of EUR 1,243,002 and EUR 1,075,585) for the age range of six to 67-year-olds [ 51].
These are complemented by two moderate scenarios – one where ɛ is distributed equally to the three energy balance components (balanced closure) and another one where ɛ is assigned to λE and H (i.e. w A = 0) so that β is preserved (Wohlfahrt et al., 2009).
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com