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'moderate certainty' is correct and usable in written English
You can use it when you need to express that you have a degree of certainty about something, but not a complete certainty. For example, "I have moderate certainty that the project will be completed on time."
Exact(15)
A C label means the task force has "at least moderate certainty that the net benefit," of the medical screening or counseling procedure is small.
The task force said it had "moderate certainty" that the screening would produce a "moderate net benefit" in these high-risk smokers but did not know whether the same would be true in lower-risk patients.
The Paris prosecutor's office said Tuesday that the inquiry had established with moderate certainty — based on witness testimony and voice analysis — that the recording was indeed of Mr. Cahuzac, and that a formal investigation would be opened.
But the task force said on Monday that after reviewing some new studies and the public comments that it had received on its preliminary decision, it decided to recommend screening of baby boomers, saying there was a "moderate certainty" it would have a "moderate net benefit".
They concluded "with moderate certainty" that efforts to encourage breastfeeding provide "a moderate net benefit for women and their children". .
The Task Force gave this recommendation a "B" grade, meaning: "There is high certainty that the net benefit is moderate or there is moderate certainty that the net benefit is moderate to substantial".
Similar(44)
This research shifts attention from the uncertainty certainty dichotomy to a gradient epistemic continuum of absolute, high, moderate, low certainty, and uncertainty.
LDC 3 – Moderate diagnostic certainty: a diagnosis is favoured, but with some elements of doubt.
We proposed that ambivalence and certainty moderate one another's relationship with temporal attitude stability.
Notable changes - Cook has moved Colorado and Virginia into the "likely Democrat" column, indicating a moderate amount of certainty that Clinton will win these states.
Grade D is defined as "moderate or high certainty that the service has no net benefit or that the harms outweigh the benefits".
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com