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This section analyzed the findings of the original, re-estimated and newly proposed models on estimation and holdout samples.
Panel-A of the Table 12 reports the predictive accuracy of original, re-estimated and newly proposed models on estimation sample.
Predictive accuracy of all the original, re-estimated and newly proposed models on estimation and holdout sample is reported in Table 12.
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The overall accuracy of Altman re-estimated model on estimation sample is 96.923 which correctly classify 98.462%% of distressed and 95.385 % of non-distressed firms.
Panel-A of Table 12 shows predictive accuracy of re-estimated models is higher than original model on estimation sample.
The long range accuracy of new model on estimation sample are 98.46 and 86.92 % for one year before bankruptcy and two years before bankruptcy respectively.
The Type II error is very high in case of Altman original model on estimation sample.
Table 8 shows the profile of variables used in Altman model on estimation and holdout sample.
Table 13 reports the long-range accuracy results of new model on estimation and hold-out sample.
The predictive accuracy of new model on estimation and holdout sample is found to be 98.46 and 87.179 respectively.
The Type II error in the case of Ohlson original model on estimation sample is close to 100%%.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com