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Gudrun Dahl, "Mats and Milk Pots: the Domain of Borana Women," in The Creative Communion: African Folk Models of Fertility and the Regeneration of Life, edited by Anita Jacobson-Widding and Walter van Beek (Uppsala, Sweden: Acad. Upsaliensis, 1990), 134 135.
The centrality of intentions to fertility behavior is found in several theoretical models of fertility decision-making.
Two models of fertility decline have divided policy makers: "Development is the best contraceptive" vs. "Contraception is the best development".
Tenure has not been included in previous models of fertility and there is no doubt that the decision to own a home is likely to delay fertility.
In contrast, modern post-demographic-transition societies appear to contradict evolutionary models of fertility optimization (Borgerhoff Mulder 1998; Kaplan et al. 1995).
Using data from 23 countries from the 2004/5 European Social Survey (ESS), multilevel logistic regression models of fertility intentions are estimated separately for women without children and women with one child.
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7 In parallel work, Todd and Wolpin (2006) use data from the experimental evaluation of Mexico's PROGRESA program to test a structural, dynamic model of fertility and child schooling using a similar approach.
The first contribution of this article is to provide a simple model of fertility and human capital that follows very closely from the work of Becker et al.
This study provides a framework for quantifying demand for family planning and using a proximate determinates model of fertility to evaluate the potential effects of various family planning intervention scenarios in a low-resourced environment.
In the basic quantity quality tradeoff model of fertility choice (Becker and Lewis 1973; Willis 1973), a couple has the utility function U x,n,q) where x is parental consumption, n is the number of children, and q is the quality of each of the identical and symmetrically treated n children.
An established computer simulation model of fertility, updated with recent IVF success rates, was used to simulate a cohort of 10 000 couples in order to assess the chances of realizing a one-, two- or three-child family, for different female ages at which the couple starts trying to conceive.
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