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A review of several transmission models has predicted that an incidence decrease in South Africa is likely to fall in the range of 15 25% by 2010 following the roll-out of ART [43].
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Sea ice in the Arctic is melting more rapidly than climate models had predicted.
Meanwhile, scientists have found that the arid zones that circle the globe north and south of the tropics have been expanding more rapidly than computer models had predicted.
Investors in mortgage-backed securities have repeatedly taken hits when borrowers repaid in larger numbers than computer models had predicted.
In practice, too, the increase in global surface air temperatures has been smaller than climate computer models had predicted.
There is accumulating evidence that we are losing ice sheets and glaciers faster, that sea levels have risen more and that global temperatures are rising faster than the models had predicted.
One preliminary discovery the team made this year is that the friction between the sediment and the rock face is more than 20 times as great as mathematical models had predicted.
The haze of small particles extends to at least 100 miles above the surface, he said, five times higher than models had predicted and a profound mystery for the time being.
In 2012, however, Lovelock pulled back from that position, stating that climate change had not unfolded as fast as climate models had predicted.
Although some scientists have long believed that black carbon is a major force in climate change, the vast majority of previous mathematical models had predicted that the particles had only a modest impact.
For example, Ray Fair, the Yale economist whose econometric models have predicted strong growth in 2011 and 2012, did not include the effects of that payroll cut in his calculations.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com