The problem assessment step of the modified EBPH framework relies heavily on modeled projections of climate change health impacts based on scenario-based global circulation model outputs linked with concentration response (exposure outcome) functions.
Our method, as any modeled projection, contains uncertainties, mainly related to the original input data and to methodological assumptions.
Downscaled and hydrologically modeled projections from an ensemble of 16 Global Climate Models suggest that flooding may become more intense on the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada mountains, the primary source for California's managed water system.
Modeled projections show approximately 508,000 of the infants will die from rotavirus and 580,000 of the 9-year old girls will eventually die from cervical cancer.
Thermal expansion is a well-documented phenomenon that climate scientists generally take into account when making modeled projections about future sea level rise.
The modeled projections indicate that PCV-13 is expected to offer a greater impact on IPD and pneumonia (by virtue of its greater complement of S. pneumoniae serotypes) than PHiD-CV.
Projection of Eye Disease Burden in Singapore.
Maximal projection vs projection of signal on curved surface.
A Projection of the cases.
