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And our forecast model weights the economic factors less and less as time goes on.
Over time, this will change, since the model weights the polls more and the economic index less as we get closer to the election.
If the stock market moves substantially over the day (say, a gain or loss of greater than 1 percent), this will usually outweigh the polling news for the day, at least at this stage when polling is sparse and the model weights the economic component fairly heavily.
Since the model weights the death toll directly by the susceptibility, the death toll would also be similar.
The model weights the contribution of differently sized vesicle groups to the total population and predicts the resulting distribution of optical sections.
This model weights the random effect for a given ward by the random effects in adjacent wards, essentially smoothing the data to take into account any clustering at the neighbourhood level.
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Coefficients p A, p L, and p I are the acoustic model weight, the language model weight, and the word insertion penalty, respectively.
We calculated the likelihood of each element and associated repeats jointly under a constrained model (weighting the element and repeat bases differently in the likelihood).
The posterior probability distribution that is obtained from the prior F, data (x, y), model weights is the weighted sum: w1 (F|L1) + … + wn (F|Ln).
That's not to say the model weights all the polls equally: high-quality national polls have an especially big influence on the trendlines that we estimate.
The model weights in the earlier, middle Eocene sample suggested overwhelmingly that there was no evidence to reject the null hypothesis of one, mixed species (Fig. 3a): the model weight was 0.996 when summed across all one-cluster models (Table 3).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com