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For both time series the AIC differences between models were extremely small and the model forecasts very similar.
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Perhaps even more frightening, computer model forecasts are showing the very real possibility that Harvey will move back over the Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday, when it could restrengthen modestly.
However, the accuracy of the models in forecasting very high ozone concentrations is very low.
Trusting the model forecasts.
The more conservative model forecasts proved correct.
Part II: model simulations and coupled model forecasts.
The validity of the model forecasts should always be tested.
The validity of model forecasts should always be tested.
The consensus of models or forecasts is very often better than even the best-performing members of the group.
A.D.M. assisted in model forecasting.
NAM model forecast radar from 4 a.m.
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