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Full details of the model fitting process, including saturated model fit is included in the Appendix (Tables  3, 4, 5).

When the BIC indicator of an ARIMA model is smaller than the application-defined BIC threshold δ and the corresponding Ljung Box white noise test of fit residual passes, the iteration of ARIMA model fitting process will stop.

The difference between the model fits is an unbiased estimate of the level of optimism derived from the model fitting process.

We initially investigated a flexible asymptote, with α estimated in the model fitting process.

The GA is then applied to the model fitting process to optimize the structural paths.

The iteration of ARIMA model fitting process follows the Box search path, which is shown in Figure 2.

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The same generating and model fitting processes are repeated 100 times.

Maximum likelihood ratio estimation was used to estimate the parameters and the goodness of fit was applied to assess various models during the model-fitting process.

The remaining 433 plots were used for the model-fitting process.

These models are driven by legacy design data, technology scaling trends and, an in situ model-fitting process.

It is to be noted here that this model-fitting process means the signal-noise separation in the data (R o (f)): Here the signal is estimated by R m (f), and the difference from R m (f) to R o (f) refers to the noise.

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