Exact(5)
However, model cccma and ipsl were not captured deficit rainfall years (0 % POD).
In a similar manner, the appropriate model, which captured summer rainfall distribution, is model cccma and bccr.
However, model cccma and bccr relatively indicate that a general decline of rainfall which are in line with the observation trends.
Similarly, the hit rate of the model on excess rainfall amount for the model cccma and echam computed to be 50%%.
The results revealed that Ethiopian summer rainfall (long rain season) has been declined by 70.51 mm in the past four decades (1971 2010); while the best performed models having similar trends to the historical observed rainfall data analysis predicted that the future summer mean rainfall amount will decline by about 60.07 mm (model cccma) and 89.45 mm (model bccr).
Similar(55)
On the other hand, model cccma, giss and ipsl didn't capture deficit rainfall years.
Model echam, giss and inmcm predicted six, seven and six rainfall deficit years, respectively; whereas, model bccr and ipsl four and model cccma five deficit years have been predicted.
The best performed models having similar trends to the historical observed temperature data analysis predicted that the future summer mean temperature has been predicted to increase by 0.59 °C (model bccr) and 0.743 °C (model cccma) from 2015 to 2054.
Model cccma failed to record the cold years and ipsl failed to record extreme summer temperature and it is hardly important to consider its value for the future.
Similarly, SD and cv values indicate that model cccma was performing well as compared to others (Table 2).
According to the summer temperature special and temporal patterns of the period 1991 2010, the model cccma, ipsl, inmcm, have been failed to capture similar temperature record to that of the observation.
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