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Their model allows for calculating the environmental gains and cost savings of a modal shift in a certain area.
This paper proposes a tool to identify the most promising cases for modal shift in a predetermined region.
The authors focus on the potential of policy measures to produce a modal shift in favour of intermodal transport.
The following section of this paper describes different tools that can be used to estimate the potential for modal shift in a region and identifies the parameters affecting transport mode choice decisions.
To tackle this problem, a methodology is proposed that ranks the transport flows yielding the greatest potential for modal shift in a studied region, based on a set of quantitative criteria.
The European Commission (EC) at the central level and many member states (e.g. France, Germany, and the UK) at the national level have been trying to encourage the higher usage of rail freight transport (i.e. modal shift in favour of rail) to reduce the environmental effects from the transport sector and reduce road congestion, in particular peak hours [11].
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Another comment from our focus groups is that the crisis will induce strong incentives to operators toward modal shifts, in particular toward less costly and efficient modes of transport (railway and maritime transport in the first place).
The International Energy Agency IEAA) studied the effects of a strong policy of 'decarbonisation' in transport and estimated that the introduction of new vehicle technologies and fuels including some modal shifting in passenger and freight transport has the potential to generate a 40% reduction in carbon (CO2) emissions [3].
The study area included both provinces of Limburg, but to frame the modal shift potential in a broader context, the area within a 50 km radius of these provinces was also included in the study area.
To determine the potential for modal shift, the focus in this research is solely on goods currently transported in containers from the sea port to the hinterland by trucks.
This enables one to approach the companies generating flows with the highest estimated modal shift success rates in a second stage.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com