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And the threat of miscalculation and the logic of escalation could tip the balance decisively.
"The invasion was a serious miscalculation, and the Kenyan economy is going to suffer badly," said David M. Anderson, a Kenya specialist at Oxford.
More than 20 years after it was abolished, Margaret Thatcher's poll tax remains the locus classicus for domestic political miscalculation and the yardstick by which all other UK governmental policy ineptitudes are still judged.
But history will surely judge the invasion of Iraq to have been a huge miscalculation and the moment when the geopolitical decline of the US, following the end of the cold war, first became manifest.
"I am not anticipating or expecting a war," he said at the time, "but the enemy could make a mistake or a miscalculation, and the American people must be prepared".
His decision to back Brexit now may well turn out to be a miscalculation, and the idea that Britain is best out of the EU his most foolish Euro-myth of all, but do not doubt that it was ruthless calculation.
Similar(51)
The result of that miscalculation — and of the Republican disdain for the health of the economy and those who depend on government services — will become clearer in just a few days.
Isaac overcame the lost time from the fuel miscalculation, and retook the lead.
These new weapons vastly increase the potential for miscalculation, and erode the 70-year taboo against using nuclear weapons.
He lost the first game by a simple miscalculation and forfeited the second after a dispute over television cameras.
Regulators also cited "spreadsheet miscalculations" and the use of "subjective" standards for how the traders valued their bets.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com