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To figure out the best methods of forecasting the future, Tetlock, Mellers and other researchers watched these forecasters as they made a multitude of predictions about things like the price of gold and protests in Russia.
She co-authored World Futures: The Great Debate (1977), which remains the definitive text on methods of forecasting.
We now use more sophisticated methods of forecasting weather, but there is some indication that the overall climate may have some link with the amount of aurora activity.
One of the principal methods of forecasting the financial needs of a business is the cash budget, which predicts the combined effects of planned operations on the firm's cash flow.
A provider considering offering such a mechanism should run side-by-side comparison trials to determine if CPP contracts perform better than their current methods of forecasting demand.
The archivable value of this paper is to demonstrate the impact that investor expectations can have on investment decisions, a facet not captured in traditional methods of forecasting.
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Estimates of Internet sales are often barely more precise than the ancient method of forecasting sales by analyzing goat entrails.
The oceanographers H.U. Sverdrup and Walter Heinrich Munk combined theory and empirical relationships in developing a method of forecasting "significant wave height"—the average height of the highest third of the waves in a wave train.
It was in 1908 that James E. Church, a classics professor at the University of Nevada, Reno, developed the existing method of forecasting water runoff from the depth and water content of snow.
In the interim, a practical method of forecasting the sequence of formation of the plastic hinges is introduced.
Our method of forecasting is based on a probabilistic modeling framework, and incorporates proximity measures from a deterministic edge prediction method.
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