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We determined the erosivity of the study area using 19 years mean rainfall data (1996 2015) recorded by Gebeze Mariam rainfall station, which have full data set.
Monthly averaged sunspot number data were obtained from the NASA website (http://www.nasa.gov), and monthly mean rainfall data for 26 years (1980 2005) obtained from the IMD for the Delhi, Kolkata, and Trivandrum stations were used.
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The mean monthly rainfall data for all districts of Uttarakhand for 102 years (1901 2002) were used for the present study.
Mean annual rainfall data for 30 years were obtained from seven stations of the Nigerian Meteorological Agency NIMETT) stations located in the study area (Fig. 2).
PFE (2010) has reported a similar situation where meteorological records between 1957 and 2006 display the mean annual rainfall data with a high inter-annual variability and an increasing trend of temperature.
Estimate, from mean monthly rainfall data, the interval between rains during the rainy season for a station in a temperate climate (Paris, France: 50 mm/month), dry climate (Gafsa, Tunisia: 20 mm/month) and tropical climate (Calcutta, India: 300 mm/month).
Table 1 Mean monthly aggregated rainfall data in LTSB descriptive statistics for the last 3 decades (mm) Rainfall level Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Low Sub-basin Min.
Climatic data were available from the National Meteorological Service and included minimum, maximum and mean temperatures and rainfall data.
Daily mean temperature and rainfall data were obtained from a regional meteorological center, India Meteorological Department (IMD), Pune.
Detailed uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, using mean monthly temperature and rainfall data from KwaZulu-Natal province of South Africa, shows that the top three parameters of the model that have the most influence on the disease transmission dynamics are the mosquito carrying capacity, transmission probability per contact for susceptible mosquitoes and human recovery rate.
With an interpolation based on the 3-year running mean revealing quasi-cyclicity in the rainfall data.
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