The large positive and negative nuclei, centred at a depth not less than 4 m b.g.l. in the B-zone and the C-zone, respectively, and within which the maximum absolute occurrence probabilities have been obtained, may reasonably indicate, instead, the presence of a vertical discontinuity.
We also employed a large dataset of presence-only data collected in Provence to model environmental influences on occurrence probability using maximum entropy models.
This is followed with the discussion of the maximum possible intensity for a geomagnetic storm, the occurrence probability of super magnetic storms, and the conclusions.
For such samples, classical maximum likelihood methods yield inappropriate distributions for estimating the occurrence probability of exceptional losses because the resulting distributions are not sufficiently heavy tailed.
We discuss the occurrence probability of such super magnetic storms, and the maximum possible intensity for the effects of a perfect ICME: extreme super magnetic storm, extreme magnetospheric compression, and extreme magnetospheric electric fields.
However, the occurrence probability of EPBs is significantly higher than that of blobs during solar maximum years (e.g. Watanabe and Oya, 1986, figure 3).
For the northwestern part of the system (the Ohara, Hijima, Yasutomi, and Kuresakatouge faults), the maximum probability of a magnitude ∼7.7 event is 1%, corresponding to the slightly high group of earthquake occurrence probability (Earthquake Research Committee, 2003, 2007).
Remaining 28 topologies have zero occurrence probability.
(p_{s}) Occurrence probability of scenario s.
Multiplying the occurrence probabilities of four individual interactions gives the occurrence probability of the category.
