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The north-east monsoon period (October December) provides the maximum monthly rainfall of the study area.
Open image in new window Fig. 2 Maximum monthly rainfall for various return periods.
The maximum monthly rainfall usually follows the maximum PWV content, but the correlation between rainfall pattern and PWV is individual.
This study develops and applies a novel classification-forecasting model, namely Binary GP (BGP), for teleconnection studies between sea surface temperature (SST) variations and maximum monthly rainfall (MMR) events.
Monthly rainfall for various return periods obtained using the plotting position method (Fig. 2) indicates that the variation of maximum monthly rainfall between the 10- and 50-year return period is obtained as 141.5 mm, whereas that between the 50- and 100-year return period is 204.9 mm.
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Average monthly minimum and maximum temperatures and monthly rainfall, recorded at the Karuzi meteorological station, were obtained from the Institute of Geography of Burundi (IGEBU).
The monthly rainfall maximum was 455 mm in September and the minimum was 0 mm in December.
Figure 2 shows the spatial patterns of average monthly rainfall, maximum temperature, proportion of overseas visitors, and SEIFA in Queensland by LGA, as well as numbers of locally acquired and overseas-acquired cases.
The meteorological data, including monthly rainfall (RF), maximum temperature (MaxT) and minimum temperature (MinT) were supplied by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
Abiotic variables included in the model were mean, absolute maximum and absolute minimum yearly temperature, monthly mean maximum and minimum temperatures (in °C), total and mean monthly rainfall (in mm), mean, absolute maximum and minimum Normalized Derived Vegetation Index (NDVI from −1 to 1), mean monthly maximum NDVI, and a yearly plant productivity index.
These included average annual mean temperature, average annual minimum and maximum temperature, average winter minimum and maximum temperature, average annual rainfall and total monthly rainfall in winter and in summer.
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