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Maximum heat index forecast on Friday from the National Weather Service.
The National Weather Service is predicting maximum heat index values of 106, 105 and 105 Friday through Sunday.
Metzger et al. examined a range of different temperature measures and found that the maximum heat index over the previous three days gave the best estimates of heat-related mortality in New York.
SSC or other meteorologic variables added to the maximum heat index model moderately improved goodness of fit, with slightly attenuated maximum heat index mortality functions.
There was no interaction between maximum heat index and month, nor did deviation from normal temperature fit the data as well as maximum heat index.
Maximum temperature and maximum heat index were very strongly correlated (R = 0.986).
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Since the estimates for maximum temperature were similar across the model specifications, model A with the complete sample of observations was used to calculate MSA-specific odds ratios.> -wrap-foot> Maximum daily temperature, maximum daily heat index and SSC correspond to day of ED visit (day0).
Three measures of daily ambient heat were constructed using meteorological observations from the National Climatic Data Center (maximum temperature, heat index) and the Spatial Synoptic Classification.
In contrast, when heat waves were defined using HI13 (maximum daily heat index > 80°F for ≥ 1 day), each ZIP code had an average of approximately 125 heat wave days/season (82% of the 153 days from May to September), and > 80% of all PTB and NAD occurred on days classified as a heat wave day.
The association between hyperthermia-related ED visit with various measures of ambient heat as found in previous epidemiologic studies was examined – maximum temperature, heat index and Spatial Synoptic Classification [ 7, 19- 22], since there is no unanimity on any one measure being superior to others [ 23].
The odds ratio of ED visit for maximum temperature and heat index remain unchanged with inclusion of other variables (Table 2).
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maximum heat release
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maximum heat exchange
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