Exact(7)
"If the Justinian plague could erupt in the human population, cause a massive pandemic, and then die out, it suggests it could happen again.
Conversely, the coverage and efficacy of these interventions only moderately correlated with pandemic outcomes in the case of a massive pandemic.
The correlation between interventions and pandemic outcomes were analyzed for two specific profiles: a fast, massive pandemic and a slow building, long-lasting one.
Conversely, this result stresses the value of measures not relying on stockpiled resources such as isolation [18], measure that correlated moderately by its coverage with the total duration in the case of a massive pandemic.
This can be interpreted as the need for a control measure to be used at a very large scale to have a real impact in the case of a massive pandemic.
The date of introduction of most of the control measures considered correlated with pandemic outcomes whatever the pandemic profile, although coverage and theoretic efficacy were more strongly correlated to the outcomes of a fast, massive pandemic than a long-lasting pandemic.
Similar(52)
As is shown in Figure 3, where axes represent three of the discriminating criteria, profiles could be grouped based on (i) the total number of cases: massive pandemics (group A), moderate pandemics (groups B, C and D) and mild pandemics (groups E and F), (ii) duration (groups A and F distinct from groups B, D and E), and (iii) the mean time to peak (groups A and C distinct from groups B and E).
But the massive Zika pandemic now underway, unlike the Ebola epidemic, is not expected to disappear from Latin America and the Caribbean any time soon.
We already know it's too late to reverse the planet's transformation, and we know what is going to happen next — namely more of the same, just worse: superstorms, super-droughts, super-pandemics, massive population displacement, water scarcity, desertification and all the rest.
Kelemen has done a lot of interesting work on possible ways to capture carbon dioxide from air (none being easy or cheap): "We already know it is too late to reverse the planet's transformation, and we know what is going to happen next – superstorms, super-droughts, super-pandemics, massive population displacement, water scarcity, desertification and all the rest.
"Absent a war, genocide, pandemic, or massive governmental collapse, drops in life expectancy are rare," wrote Monica Potts in the American Prospect last month.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com