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Exact(13)
No one has yet managed to predict an influenza outbreak.
But neither the central bank nor academicians managed to predict or prevent the crisis in the first place.
"The banks we looked at only managed to predict the correct direction their hot picks would go 55% of the time.
Last year, a group of tech experts managed to predict 92 of the records in Triple J's hottest 100 – the traditional countdown of listeners' favourite records of the year, broadcast on Australia day – and got the top three dead on.
The end has been in sight for years, and yet, with all that advance warning, no one managed to predict the choice that David Chase made about the fate of Tony, his family, and his crew.
On a more mundane level, a digital intelligence company called Webtrends managed to predict the outcome of The X Factor early on Sunday evening, simply by analysing stuff that the British public had posted online.
Similar(45)
The predictions of their model on a sample of a dataset containing the records of 1 million people on 4 months shows that in 60% of their predictions, they manage to predict correctly the next location of a user.
Despite the unimpressive number and size of deals in recent years -- deal volume in the United States rose to $525 billion last year from $439 billion, attaining a level that compares with 1995, according to Thomson Financial -- a bevy of overeager Wall Street deal makers typically manage to predict that merger mania will return in the next year.
How did he manage to predict such a surprising result?
By trying both a decision-tree classifier and a logistic regression classifier, they manage to predict correctly about 70% of the persistent edges and decays.
And so far, it seems to be working — co-founder Jason Freedman says that four hours below takeoff, Flightcaster manages to predict ten times as many delays as the airlines do.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com