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Bayesian analysis is (arguably) a useful tool to support complicated decision-making, because it makes the uncertainty associated with silent multiple comparisons explicit.
But at root the decision still rests on a "judgement" - as the prime minister told the House of Commons yesterday - dressed up as strategic logic; that the length of the weapons cycle beyond 2050 makes the "uncertainty" argument overwhelming.
The underlying, structural description makes the uncertainty explicit.
Rather, the process picks up the complex innovation process and makes the uncertainty of future developments manageable.
The deficiency or lack of technical support makes the uncertainty about changes in electronic health records persisting, impacting negatively on its adoption.
Although this approach makes the uncertainty in the selection of the central tendency estimates explicit, it does not resolve that uncertainty.
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Frayn rather brilliantly made the uncertainty principle a metaphor for the murkiness of Heisenberg's motives.
Photographs — some on television, some sent by e-mail from cellphone cameras — revealed sprawling devastation that only made the uncertainty about loved ones more painful.
"Economic forecasting is always difficult, but the current stresses in financial markets make the uncertainty surrounding the outlook even greater than usual," Mr. Bernanke said in prepared remarks to a business group in North Carolina.
The upper limit is determined using the spacing between reflection points, making the uncertainty in velocity very large for events with velocities larger than this limit.
All these assumptions and limitations make the uncertainty estimates incomplete, covering only the parameter uncertainty of the model.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com